New elections in Catalonia coming: By force or peacefully?

By Mike “Mish” Shedlock

In a letter to prime minister Mariano Rajoy, Catalan president Carles Puigdemont asks Spain to end “repression of the Catalan people”. Puigdemont still did not say whether or not Catalonia declared independence. Meanwhile, a prosecutor seeks to hold Catalan police chief in prison with no bail.

Puigdemont Requests “Sincere Dialog”

Last week Rajoy gave Puigdemont a deadline of Monday to say whether or not he was declaring independence. The deadline went unanswered.

Instead, Puigdemont sent a letter to Rajoy seeking a sincere dialog, but it is a dialog that Rajoy will not accept.

Meanwhile, High Court Judge Carmen Lamela had to decide whether or not to grant the request of the public prosecutor to hold the chief of the Catalan police force, Josep Lluís Trapero, in prison without bail. Trapero appeared in Spain’s High Court in Madrid today for the second time, on charges of sedition.

At around 6.20pm, news broke that Trapero would not have to be held in custody, and was released under precautionary measures.

Letter to Rajoy

El Pais has the full text of the Letter to Rajoy, transcribed in English. The letter states that the Catalan police (Mossos d’Esquadra), is one of the most respected police forces in Europe, and police chief Trapero faithfully and rigorously fulfills its duty.

Here is the letter’s conclusion:

In this episode of repression, we have also seen, among of things, the violation of fundamental rights; the intervention with and freezing of bank accounts which prevents us from fulfilling our obligations to people who most need them; internet and media censorship; interference in private post; detention of public servants; brutal police violence against a peaceful population on October 1.

Our proposal of dialogue is sincere, in spite of all that has occurred, but logically it is not compatible with the current climate of threats and rising tension.

The second request is that we organize a meeting, as soon as possible, which will allow us to explore initial agreement. Let’s not allow this situation to deteriorate more. In good faith, recognizing and facing the problem head on, I am sure we can find a way towards a solution.

Yours sincerely,

Carles Puigdemont i Casamajó

Premier of the Generalitat of Catalonia

New Elections Coming

Since Rajoy will not hold a dialog, new elections are coming one way or another.

If Rajoy invokes article 155, elections will be by force. Puigdemont may also call for new elections. Also, the radical CUP party which is upset that Puigdemont has not already declared independence may pull support for Puigdemont which would end the fragile coalition, also resulting in new elections.

If Rajoy does invoke 155, the situation could get out of hand depending on how the Catalonia police force reacts to the resultant invasion of Catalonia by Spanish forces. Invasion is indeed the proper term.

 

 

Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Article appeared at his blog.

 

 

Click here for reuse options!
Copyright 2017 Southern Arizona News-Examiner